2001/2002 Production Estimates
| SADC MAIZE PRODUCTION, 2001/02 |
| |
2001/2002 Maize Production |
Change from Previous Year |
Change form Past 5-Year Average |
| Angola |
579,000 |
+ 22% |
+ 33% |
| Botswana |
4,000 |
+ 100% |
- 31% |
| Lesotho |
35,000 |
- 66% |
- 66% |
| Malawi |
1,539,000 |
- 10% |
- 22% |
| Mozambique |
1,236,000 |
+ 8% |
+ 12% |
| Namibia |
27,000 |
- 4% |
- 17% |
| RSA |
8,912,000 |
+ 19% |
+ 2% |
| Swaziland |
68,000 |
- 7% |
- 24% |
| Tanzania |
2,698,000 |
+ 5% |
+ 12% |
| Zambia |
710,000 |
- 11 % |
- 24% |
| Zimbabwe |
481,000 |
- 67% |
- 72% |
| Total |
16,289,000 |
+ 3% |
- 7% |
| SOURCE: SADC Regional Early Warning Unit, 3 June 2002 |
| SOURCE: FAO/WFP Crop And Food Assessment, 2002 |
The current estimated 2001/02 maize production in 11 SADC countries included in this analysis is:
16,289,000 Metric Tonnes
This figure is NOT final and will change as countries report their final production estimates.
According the SADC REWU, since 1990, regional maize production has been
lower than this year in five seasons.
1990/91: 16,167,000 MT
1991/92: 7,562,000 MT
1994/95: 9,243,000 MT
1997/98: 15,988,000 MT
2000/01: 15,878,000 MT
Meeting Maize Requirements
| SADC MAIZE SITUATION(MT), 2002/03 |
| |
Production + Stock |
Domestic Requirements * |
Import Requirements |
| Angola |
579,000 |
733,000 |
- 154,000 |
| Botswana |
12,000 |
120,000 |
- 108,000 |
| Lesotho |
41,000 |
283,000 |
- 242,000 |
| Malawi |
1,563,000 |
1,992,000 |
- 429,000 |
| Mozambique |
1,316,000 |
1,241,000 |
75,000 |
| Namibia |
37,000 |
126,000 |
- 89,000 |
| RSA |
10,152,000 |
8,105,000 |
2,047,000 |
| Swaziland |
68,000 |
139,000 |
- 71,000 |
| Tanzania |
2,751,000 |
2,905,000 |
-154,000 |
| Zambia |
710,000 |
1,088,000 |
- 378,000 |
| Zimbabwe |
483,000 |
2,038,000 |
- 1,555,000 |
| Total |
17,712,000 |
18,770,000 |
- 1,058,000 |
| * Excludes carry/over stocks and planned exports |
| SOURCE: SADC Regional Early Warning Unit, 3 June 2002 |
| SOURCE: FAO/WFP Crop And Food Assessment, 2002 |
The maize deficit countries will need to import a combined total of:
3,180,000 Metric Tonnes
South Africa normally maintains a six week pipeline of maize stocks (850,000MT), which could leave South Africa with as much as 1.2 million MT of available maize for export. Almost half of this will contribute to filling the 510,000MT maize gap in Botswana, Namibia, Lesotho and Swaziland. This will leave approximately 700,000MT for other countries in the region, representing 25% of outstanding requirements
The remainder of food imports will need to be sourced from outside the region
|
